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Downside Deviation Calculation

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Question 1
Multiple Choice
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An analyst records the following annual returns for a portfolio:

Year

Return (%)

1

5%

2

6%

3

2%

4

1%

5

3%

If the target return is 4%, the target downside deviation is closest to:

Explanation

Target downside deviation considers only returns below or equal to the target, and is calculated using:

σ _{d} = √ \frac{1}{n} \sum_{}^{} (B - X) ^{2}

Where:

  • B = 4% (target return)

  • X = returns less than or equal to 4%

  • n = 5 (total number of periods)

Step 1: Identify returns below or equal to 4%:

Year

Return (%)

Deviation (B − X)

Squared Deviation

3

2%

2%

4

4

1%

3%

9

5

3%

1%

1

Sum of squared deviations = 4 + 9 + 1 = 14

Step 2: Plug into formula:

σ _{d} = √ \frac{14}{5} = 1.673

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